District 4
✓ Called · deskJim JordanR✓192,58864.5%
Joshua KolasinskiD93,38231.3%
Tracey TackettI12,7784.3%
National results › Ohio › District 4
Ohio District 4
Springfield, Delaware, Marion
Where this district is
Vote share as the count progressed
Jim JordanJoshua KolasinskiPace of change (shaded; full height = 9.4 pts/hr)
Tracey Tackett (4.3%) is outside this chart's range, so not drawn.
| # | Time (ET) | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7:30 PM – 8:25 PM | Data feed error (our tech failed, not the feed) |
| 2 | 8:43 PM | Called for Jim Jordan (R): at least a 60% chance of winning on 3 straight updates. At the call: P = 0.95, 17% in, ahead by 33,972 votes. |
Urban vs. rural (estimate)
Urban voters cast 57% of the votes, and Jordan (R) won them by 8 points. Jordan (R) also won rural voters by 66.
Urban 57%of district residents · about 169K votes
Rural 43%of district residents · about 130K votes
Joshua Kolasinski (D)Kolasinski (D)42.8%
Jim Jordan (R)Jordan (R)50.6%
Joshua Kolasinski (D)Kolasinski (D)16.2%
Jim Jordan (R)Jordan (R)82.6%
Columns follow the bar above.
How the lead was built
Jordan (R) led among both urban voters (+13,100) and rural voters (+86,100).
← Kolasinski (D) aheadJordan (R) ahead →
Urban votersJordan by 8 points
+13,100
Rural votersJordan by 66 points
+86,100
ResultJordan by 33.2 points (actual)
+99,206 ✓
Bars are net votes: the leader's votes minus the runner-up's. Urban + rural = the result.
Estimate, not a count. Results are reported by county, so each county's votes (for a House district, its part of each county) are split by its urban and rural population in the 2020 Census, then shifted by how much better each candidate ran in more urban counties in this race. Assumes turnout follows population. The Census counts suburbs as urban.
Results by county / area
| Area | Jordan | Kolasinski | Tackett | Total | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark | 52.8% | 32.8% | 14.3% | 39,351 | 100% |
| Allen | 66.2% | 31.2% | 2.6% | 35,235 | 100% |
| Delaware | 49.1% | 48.7% | 2.2% | 33,832 | 81% |
| Union | 57.4% | 39.9% | 2.6% | 30,961 | 100% |
| Marion | 62.5% | 34.0% | 3.5% | 19,975 | 100% |
| Richland | 62.6% | 34.9% | 2.5% | 19,773 | 100% |
| Auglaize | 78.4% | 19.4% | 2.2% | 19,246 | 100% |
| Shelby | 78.2% | 19.8% | 2.0% | 18,983 | 100% |
| Mercer | 80.2% | 18.2% | 1.6% | 18,001 | 100% |
| Logan | 72.0% | 24.6% | 3.4% | 17,831 | 100% |
| Champaign | 67.9% | 25.8% | 6.2% | 15,544 | 100% |
| Morrow | 71.5% | 25.5% | 3.0% | 14,059 | 100% |
| Van Wert | 72.9% | 24.7% | 2.3% | 10,510 | 100% |
| Hardin | 68.5% | 28.8% | 2.7% | 5,447 | 57% |