District 4
LeadingPat FallonR · incumbent171,65256.1%
Jason PearceD134,56343.9%
National results › Texas › District 4
Texas District 4
Frisco, part of Plano, part of Dallas
Where this district is
Vote share as the count progressed
Pat FallonJason PearcePace of change (shaded; full height = 49 pts/hr)
| # | Time (ET) | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8:00 PM – 8:49 PM | No data |
Urban vs. rural (estimate)
Urban voters cast 81% of the votes, and Pearce (D) leads among them by 5 points. Fallon (R) leads the much smaller rural vote by 89.
Urban 80%of district residents · about 249K votes
Rural 20%of district residents · about 57K votes
Jason Pearce (D)Pearce (D)52.7%
Pat Fallon (R)Fallon (R)47.3%
Pat Fallon (R)Fallon (R)94.4%
Columns follow the bar above.
How the lead was built
Fallon (R) built a 50,400-vote lead among rural voters, more than Pearce (D)'s 13,300-vote lead among urban voters.
← Pearce (D) aheadFallon (R) ahead →
Urban votersPearce by 5 points
+13,300
Rural votersFallon by 89 points
+50,400
ResultFallon by 12.1 points (actual)
+37,089
Bars are net votes: the leader's votes minus the runner-up's. Urban + rural = the result.
Estimate, not a count. Results are reported by county, so each county's votes (for a House district, its part of each county) are split by its urban and rural population in the 2020 Census, then shifted by how much better each party ran in more urban counties in the state's biggest statewide race. Assumes turnout follows population. The Census counts suburbs as urban.
Results by county / area
| Area | Fallon | Pearce | Total | In |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin | 47.2% | 52.8% | 172,789 | 100% |
| Grayson | 72.3% | 27.7% | 53,384 | 100% |
| Denton | 51.3% | 48.7% | 39,846 | 100% |
| Lamar | 75.7% | 24.3% | 16,281 | 100% |
| Fannin | 79.0% | 21.0% | 12,956 | 100% |
| Bowie | 79.3% | 20.7% | 6,739 | 100% |
| Red River | 76.1% | 23.9% | 4,220 | 100% |